There’s a lot of unmanly behavior out there amongst the Republican Party faithful these days. Oh, noes! Clinton’s speech! Obama got a bounce after the convention! Hike your fucking panties up, Mary Sue Tinklepants.
So what? In case you forgot, and obviously, you did – the media exists to demoralize Republicans and polish the knobs of Democrats. It has always been so, and it will always be so. Undersampling of Republicans, oversampling of Democrats – that’s the least worthless part of these polls. Remember one thing:
THIS IS NOT A NATIONAL ELECTION.
This is 50 separate state elections with national consequences. This race will be fought and won in Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia, Wisconsin, etc. The national spread tells you nothing. What I am more interested in is human nature. What do Obama’s core constituency – black voters – think about his chances?
Directly after Obama’s speech closing out the 2012 Democrat National Convention, I was on Twitter making friends and passing out compliments, as I am wont to do, when I saw a new hashtag in my timeline: #IfObamaDontWin. Now remember: this is literally minutes after Obama’s speech ended. Witness the celebratory tone.
#IfObamaDontWin we going back to the cotton fields. Lightskin niggas finna turn darkskin. & darkskin niggas finna turn to ashes
#IfObamaDontWin Romney will ban fried chicken #BlackFolksVote
#IfObamaDontWin I wonder if we can pick our own masters? cause we going back to slavery!
#IfObamaDontWin they go put them shackles back on our feet sooo we can’t dance ….
#IfObamaDontWin ~DA DEVEL CASPERZ GON BRANG DIS WORLE~ 2 AN EN~ ERY1 NOE~ DEY GON INJECK ALDA NIGGAZ WID AIDZ AN LET DA CHILEZ DYE 2~SMMFH~
Indeed, bigoletitties. Indeed.
Do these sound like fired-up voters to you? Or does it sound like deflated, dejected idiots who will be unlikely to once again summon the Herculean effort of getting off their fat, whiny asses to vote for Chicago Jesus like they did in 2008?
As I kept going back to the page containing these erudite bon mots, I noticed that one of them had grumbled that a “White Boy be retweetin my shit.” So after I retweeted THAT, I responded to what originally caught my eye, because it seemed to be admitting defeat. Obama’s supposed moment of triumph, his big night, and this fucking guy is already planning his angry lashing-out for when he loses in November. Behold the despair of the Obamanites:
See how there was no fight in him? Hell, I almost felt bad for fucking with him. Almost.
I have a feeling that this is not the only identity group that is dissatisfied with Obama’s performance. It’s easy to run on promises of “Vote for me and I’ll take shit from them and give it to you.” But you start to run into problems when you fail to come across with the bacon. Not only did Obama fail to raise taxes on Teh Evul Rich!!1!!1! but he extended the Bush Tax Cuts. Which isn’t even an accurate title. You signed that shit, Barry. That’s your tax cuts for the wealthy. That’s the Obama Tax Cuts.
It’s easy to get the feeling that our side is making hesitation cuts on its arms and sobbing to shitty Morrissey songs, while the other side traipses gaily through meadows of clover, laughing and dancing with gumdrop smiles. Get your head out of the MSM and get down to street level. Is this the mood of the entire Democrat party? Probably not, but it damn sure goes unreported. What else is going unreported?
It’s never as bad as you’re told. Likewise it’s never as good as they are told. Also, things happen. Pride goeth before a fall, and have you ever seen a motherfucker as prideful as Barack Obama? The parallels to 1980 are remarkable. Going into the last week before the election, the race between Carter and Reagan was very tight. And then they had their last debate. Remember how that turned out?
The story is instructive. Incumbent presidents resent the need to defend themselves. They believe that the candidates who challenge them are unworthy. They believe that they are uniquely in touch with the people. They believe that they have accomplished much – and can’t believe that everyone doesn’t know it. Every incumbent president since Gerald Ford in 1976 – Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush – has resisted practice debates. In 1972, Mr. Ford tolerated just a few minutes of his mock debate. In 1996, Mr. Clinton “got clobbered” in his (although he won re-election anyway). George W. Bush moved his rehearsal to Crawford, Tex., so he could relax enough to participate.
Politicians, Mr. Popkin suggests, come to believe the lies they tell – especially presidents. We’ll soon see how President Barack Obama, incumbent, will fare in 2012. Like 1980, the race is extremely tight. The economic mood is murky. The President is blaming others for his failures: Congress, of course, Wall Street, oil companies and, especially, the rich. Will history repeat when Mr. Obama confronts Republican Mitt Romney, in three televised debates, in October? Not all presidents who trip up are going to lose (as Clinton and Bush the Younger prove) but the ones who do lose (Ford, Carter, Bush the Elder) often do so by blindly underestimating their adversaries.
One thing that’s been reported widely is that Obama has no respect for Romney or his abilities at all. That may very well prove his undoing.
Get a grip.